读《The gray rhino：How to Recogniz

Gray Rhino-A gray Rhino is a highly probable, high-impact threat. It is something we ought to see coming, yet we fail to recognize the abvious and thus fail to take action.

Black Swan-The black swan theory describes an envent comes as a surprise, has amajor effect, and its often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight.

读《The gray rhino：How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious 》 读《The gray rhino：How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious 》 读《The gray rhino：How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious 》 读《The gray rhino：How to Recognize and Act on the Obvious 》